Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 2.421802 2.573337 2.733618 2.916488 3.120235 3.341299 3.600693
2026-01-11 2.185692 2.394877 2.627850 2.909164 3.243266 3.632157 4.126395
2026-01-18 2.072490 2.318549 2.602505 2.959568 3.404285 3.951074 4.693151
2026-01-25 2.144990 2.455715 2.828974 3.321044 3.970222 4.825702 6.093408
2026-02-01 1.983585 2.294499 2.674828 3.187344 3.882386 4.830394 6.301098
2026-02-08 1.838316 2.142656 2.519976 3.036880 3.752769 4.755791 6.370203
2026-02-15 1.757972 2.066952 2.456020 2.999396 3.771024 4.888020 6.770686
2026-02-22 1.674973 1.982793 2.375147 2.931569 3.737844 4.936805 7.038261
2026-03-01 1.590300 1.892199 2.280560 2.837791 3.657926 4.903525 7.156588
2026-03-08 1.503387 1.795050 2.172621 2.718762 3.531372 4.784101 7.102069
2026-03-15 1.466252 1.761877 2.149013 2.717378 3.580365 4.948798 7.594435
2026-03-22 1.427095 1.724197 2.117150 2.701569 3.604920 5.074096 8.032156
2026-03-29 1.361449 1.653100 2.042375 2.628304 3.549280 5.083725 8.298640
2026-04-05 1.321147 1.615351 2.013083 2.621985 3.602367 5.294636 9.061013
2026-04-12 1.299788 1.602040 2.016761 2.664486 3.737879 5.673274 10.330546
2026-04-19 1.354408 1.696402 2.179954 2.967027 4.354045 7.111191 15.147360
2026-04-26 1.291232 1.620921 2.089054 2.855567 4.218632 6.968901 15.243113
2026-05-03 1.228061 1.543452 1.992287 2.729514 4.046826 6.726133 14.927366
2026-05-10 1.193519 1.506030 1.954128 2.698007 4.049182 6.874226 16.067381
2026-05-17 1.154574 1.460907 1.902446 2.640891 3.997774 6.891328 16.745326
2026-05-24 1.112214 1.409581 1.839512 2.561692 3.897809 6.781007 16.878061
2026-05-31 1.066428 1.352134 1.765543 2.460779 3.749408 6.538996 16.382860
2026-06-07 1.047593 1.333591 1.750596 2.459604 3.796749 6.780908 18.130791